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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.05vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.90vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.72+6.95vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+1.44vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.730.00vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37+0.31vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16-0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.09+3.05vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.53+2.97vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.95+0.82vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.81-7.39vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.12+0.84vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-4.27vs Predicted
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16Hampton University3.02-7.42vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-3.46vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.66-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.95Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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5.89Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.44University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.0Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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12.05University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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13.97University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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12.82Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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5.61Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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14.84Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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10.73Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.58Hampton University3.020.0%1st Place
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13.54Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Will La Dow | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
| Mark Davies | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harris Cram | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 32.5% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 14.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.