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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+5.83vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+3.96vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+4.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.85vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.53+8.39vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.06+1.82vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02+0.91vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.72+1.01vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-0.87vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-4.50vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-0.54vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.95+0.40vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.96-5.00vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.12+0.52vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.09-3.48vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.16-8.53vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-3.77vs Predicted
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18University of Washington1.53-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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13.39University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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7.82Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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7.91Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.01Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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5.5Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.46Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.4Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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14.52Tulane University1.120.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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7.47Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.23Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Solomon | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.4% |
| Roger Dorr | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Will La Dow | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Mark Davies | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Harris Cram | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 15.9% | 30.6% |
| August Sturm | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Erik Skeel | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.