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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+4.92vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+3.42vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+4.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+2.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.34vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.44vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.36+5.45vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.92-1.06vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-2.78vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.08+3.41vs Predicted
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12Tulane University1.65+0.90vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.95-5.26vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-4.85vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.84-3.05vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.37-2.35vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.93-2.15vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.93-6.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.37Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.45University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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14.41Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.9Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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7.74Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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9.15Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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13.65Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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11.5Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Logue | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 13.3% |
| Andrew Baird | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 22.9% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 8.1% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 15.4% |
| Hayden Potter | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 17.6% | 29.5% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.