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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+4.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+5.28vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+3.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.39vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.56-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.92-0.16vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.82-0.72vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.93+1.83vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.95-2.96vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.84-1.16vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.65-1.64vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.54-5.65vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.08-1.54vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.37-3.40vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.93-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.41Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.8Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.84University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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8.28Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.83Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.04Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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12.36Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.35Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.46Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.6Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| William Logue | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 17.5% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Caelan Watts | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 23.8% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 13.9% |
| Hayden Potter | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.