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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+4.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+5.16vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.92+5.19vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.95+3.74vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.33vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.56-1.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.71vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-2.70vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.08+4.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.36+2.63vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-3.33vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54-3.67vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.93+0.55vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.37-1.44vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.84-3.91vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-5.22vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.65-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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7.74Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.7Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.3Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.52Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.63University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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8.67Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.33Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.55University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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13.56Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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11.78Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.45Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Logue | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 24.5% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
| Andrew Schoene | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Potter | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 27.3% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 13.8% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Caelan Watts | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.