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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.92+7.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.36+11.89vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.50vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.56+1.62vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+0.31vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+0.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.61vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.39-1.79vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.75vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.54-0.36vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.95-3.08vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-3.37vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.65-0.52vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.93-2.62vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.84-3.05vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.37-2.36vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-2.53vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.93-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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13.89University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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5.62Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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5.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.39Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.64Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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8.63Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.48Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.38Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.95University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
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13.64Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.47Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Romain Screve | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.8% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Caelan Watts | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Mason Wolters | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 24.8% |
| Hayden Potter | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.