Race 2B

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jillian Giordano 3.5% 8.5% 11.2% 14.2% 14.1% 14.8% 14.4% 10.3% 7.0% 2.0%
Nick Myneni 67.0% 23.4% 7.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Monville 3.8% 9.0% 10.0% 12.8% 13.1% 13.8% 14.9% 11.3% 8.9% 2.5%
Astrid Myhre 6.5% 16.6% 19.3% 17.3% 14.8% 11.1% 7.3% 5.1% 1.8% 0.3%
Alex Schlotterer 1.5% 3.9% 4.8% 6.1% 7.9% 8.9% 12.8% 15.2% 23.9% 14.9%
Nathaniel Bacheller 3.8% 6.7% 8.4% 10.9% 12.2% 14.6% 14.1% 13.5% 11.0% 4.8%
Kate Sorbie 9.4% 19.8% 21.8% 17.7% 12.5% 9.3% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
George Prokop 2.4% 6.6% 10.2% 10.3% 13.0% 13.0% 13.4% 15.5% 12.2% 3.3%
Leo Barch 1.8% 4.9% 5.3% 7.0% 8.8% 11.5% 13.4% 18.6% 19.8% 9.0%
Adam Bryan 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.1% 3.0% 4.1% 7.6% 14.3% 63.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.