Race 1A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christian Manchester 10.7% 12.0% 12.7% 10.2% 11.2% 9.0% 9.1% 7.2% 6.2% 3.7% 4.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.5%
Elizabeth Barry 11.6% 12.1% 11.4% 11.5% 11.2% 10.6% 9.1% 7.7% 5.1% 4.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2%
Ben Greenfield 14.5% 14.1% 15.4% 11.8% 10.5% 9.6% 8.2% 5.8% 5.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Poole 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 6.4% 6.6% 5.9% 6.8% 8.9% 9.8% 8.8% 8.9% 8.7% 10.5% 5.7%
Samuel Ingham 23.7% 22.0% 16.1% 13.1% 9.7% 5.8% 4.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Billy Hines 3.2% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 3.9% 3.6% 5.8% 6.3% 8.7% 8.2% 10.2% 10.8% 14.5% 16.3%
Matthew Schon 8.4% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 8.0% 11.8% 9.7% 6.9% 8.8% 7.5% 6.2% 4.8% 2.9% 1.3%
Peter Giuliano 4.1% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 5.1% 6.4% 5.8% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.5% 10.6% 10.3%
Will Pelleteri 3.9% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.1% 6.6% 8.2% 9.4% 10.5% 9.8% 11.5% 11.4% 8.7%
Conor Lodge 3.7% 3.9% 5.0% 5.0% 7.4% 7.9% 6.7% 8.6% 8.3% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 8.3% 5.0%
Reeve Dunne 3.0% 2.7% 2.4% 3.8% 4.8% 6.1% 7.6% 7.0% 6.8% 9.2% 9.8% 11.3% 12.3% 13.2%
Quentin Chafee 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 8.3% 8.6% 7.9% 8.8% 10.7% 9.8% 7.3% 7.1% 7.0% 4.8% 3.6%
Graham Philpot 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 4.0% 3.5% 5.0% 4.4% 6.7% 10.0% 10.9% 14.0% 30.8%
Andrew Kurzrok 3.8% 4.1% 5.6% 5.8% 6.5% 6.3% 7.8% 7.4% 8.2% 12.2% 9.5% 9.1% 9.3% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.