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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.53+1.77vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.95-0.50vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.01+0.31vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.20-0.44vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-1.52-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Ohio State University-0.5315.1%1st Place
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1.5Miami University0.9562.5%1st Place
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3.31Miami University-1.019.7%1st Place
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3.56Ohio State University-1.206.9%1st Place
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3.85Hillsdale College-1.525.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mignogna | 15.1% | 28.9% | 28.1% | 19.0% | 8.8% |
| Reed Porter | 62.5% | 26.6% | 9.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 9.7% | 18.8% | 23.1% | 27.4% | 21.1% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 6.9% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 28.4% | 27.7% |
| Finn Rowan | 5.8% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 23.8% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.