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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+4.80vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.31vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.92+4.94vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+5.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+8.15vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.26vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+1.16vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19-1.24vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.88vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.56vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.95-3.23vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-4.54vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.400.00vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.37-1.02vs Predicted
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15Hampton University1.08-0.87vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.65-3.52vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.93-2.39vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.24-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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9.09Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.16Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.76Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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6.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.77Fordham University2.950.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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13.0University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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12.98Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.13Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.48Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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13.52Northwestern University1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eduardo Mintzias | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Haag | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Hayden Potter | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 26.3% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.