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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.92+6.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+4.90vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+2.72vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.60+4.77vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.93+6.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.88vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+0.08vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.38vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.82-1.07vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.59-4.42vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.87+0.68vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-5.64vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.13vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.37-1.03vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.40-1.86vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.95-1.41vs Predicted
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17Hampton University1.08-2.78vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.65-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.72Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.77Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.19Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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5.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.62Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.93Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.58Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.68Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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13.13University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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12.97Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Michigan1.400.0%1st Place
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14.59University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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14.22Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.12Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Baird | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andy Reiter | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Parkin | 12.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% |
| Trevor Long | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.1% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% |
| Austin Haag | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.4% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 27.5% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 22.4% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.