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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.19+5.96vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.87vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.23vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+1.54vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.37+8.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.20vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+1.14vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.93+6.50vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.59-3.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.61vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.60-1.95vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.92-3.94vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.21vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.87-2.60vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-3.61vs Predicted
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16Hampton University1.08-1.67vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.65-4.42vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.84-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.87Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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5.54Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.22Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.14Eckerd College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.5University of Washington0.930.0%1st Place
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5.34Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.06University of South Florida2.920.1%1st Place
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13.21University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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11.4Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.39Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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14.33Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.58Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Michigan1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Williford | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 11.9% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 13.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Potter | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 27.8% |
| Jack Parkin | 11.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 23.5% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Mason Wolters | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.