← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.73+8.02vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.88vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University3.41+7.51vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.50+5.67vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.28vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.81+2.49vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.77+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University3.74+0.72vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.24-2.38vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.530.00vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island3.37-0.45vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston4.09-4.38vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida3.59-3.72vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.05vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.03vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.24vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.72-3.85vs Predicted
-
18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.02Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
10.51George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
-
9.67Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.49Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
8.6Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.72Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.62Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
10.0Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.55University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
7.62College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.95U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
-
11.76University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
-
13.15Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Will La Dow | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 24.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.