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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+6.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.87vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+7.11vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+5.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.74+3.72vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+2.84vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.81+1.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77+0.62vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-1.79vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.24-3.06vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-0.61vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.08vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-4.60vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-4.63vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-6.83vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.72-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.0%1st Place
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10.11Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.32University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.44Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.21College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.94Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.39George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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11.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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12.82Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Will La Dow | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 15.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.