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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+8.02vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+8.48vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.84vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+4.35vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.09+2.27vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.27vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.59+2.41vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-1.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.77-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37+0.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.82vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.74-2.83vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.51vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-4.47vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.53-5.37vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-2.89vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.59vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.02Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.48George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.35Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.62Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.17Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.53Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College3.530.0%1st Place
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13.11Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Will La Dow | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 24.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.