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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+7.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+5.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+3.87vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+4.69vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.30vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+4.20vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50+1.75vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.59+0.41vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.72+3.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.81vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.73-2.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-3.95vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.53-5.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.87vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.81-8.42vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.45College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.2George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.41University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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13.26Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.16Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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8.58Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.04St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 24.5% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.