Race 8A

maisa-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caroline Patten 12.9% 17.6% 16.9% 15.2% 15.7% 12.6% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 3.9% 4.0% 5.2% 7.2% 9.2% 10.8% 17.0% 20.8% 15.8% 5.4% 0.7%
Amanda Johnson 7.0% 7.3% 9.0% 10.5% 13.4% 16.7% 13.6% 14.6% 6.6% 1.2% 0.1%
Corina Radtke 5.8% 8.2% 10.1% 12.7% 13.5% 16.2% 14.8% 11.3% 5.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Sydney Bolger 38.7% 24.5% 15.5% 10.8% 5.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 12.6% 16.2% 16.2% 16.8% 13.6% 9.3% 8.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Meredith Carroll 4.6% 5.5% 6.5% 6.9% 11.2% 12.1% 16.1% 18.5% 14.3% 4.1% 0.2%
Lauren Turner 12.5% 14.0% 17.0% 15.9% 12.7% 12.0% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Laura Burzenski 1.3% 2.0% 2.8% 2.4% 3.6% 4.5% 8.9% 14.2% 33.3% 19.6% 7.4%
Catherine Olsen 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.8% 4.4% 13.0% 39.0% 35.7%
Jessie Shifalo 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.9% 2.3% 3.8% 6.8% 28.7% 55.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.