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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+7.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+6.87vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+4.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+2.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+3.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+3.85vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+3.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.57vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37+0.64vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.39vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.72-0.12vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-4.61vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-2.86vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.59-6.53vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-5.14vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.87Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.61Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.85Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.72Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.88Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.39Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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9.47University of South Florida3.590.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Will La Dow | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 23.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% |
| Sean Cornell | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.