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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+8.81vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.09+5.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+5.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.48vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+3.52vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+4.11vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.10vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.87vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37+1.32vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-1.38vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.72+2.04vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.50-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.59-3.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.24-7.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.51vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-7.23vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-6.22vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-5.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Dartmouth College3.530.0%1st Place
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7.35College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.97Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.11George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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8.62Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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13.04Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.2University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.37Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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11.49University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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8.77Boston College3.730.0%1st Place
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10.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Will La Dow | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 23.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.4% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Shane Riera | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.