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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+7.60vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+3.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.73vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+3.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+3.92vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77+1.25vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.64+3.87vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.72+2.82vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-2.47vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-2.40vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston4.09-6.16vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.69vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-5.68vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-3.26vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-7.14vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.5Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.87University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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12.82Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.6Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.84College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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11.31St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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9.86George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Feeney | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 18.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 18.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Shane Riera | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 17.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Weis | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.