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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+9.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+4.64vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+7.09vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.09+3.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+4.40vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.12vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+3.00vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.72+4.71vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-0.44vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-1.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-3.15vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.81-4.91vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-2.41vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.50-5.49vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-7.50vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-5.40vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.64-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.38University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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6.64Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.0%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.0George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.71Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.85Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.6University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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12.95University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 21.7% |
| Will La Dow | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% |
| Brendan Feeney | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.