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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+5.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+7.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+5.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+7.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+3.18vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81+2.05vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.56vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-1.08vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41+0.72vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.72+2.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.03vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.64+1.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.89vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.74-5.93vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.55-1.81vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-6.02vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-9.85vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College3.530.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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8.18Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.05Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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9.72George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.79Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.19University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.07Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.19Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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7.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 16.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Feeney | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 22.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Will La Dow | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| James Jacob | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 21.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.