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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+6.20vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+5.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81+3.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.52vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24+0.34vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.55+6.18vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.13vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.64+3.12vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.53-1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-1.64vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.52vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.77-6.06vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.74-6.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-4.72vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-7.16vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.72-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.97Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.34Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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13.18Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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11.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.3Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.44Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| James Jacob | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 21.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Brendan Feeney | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 21.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Will La Dow | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.