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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+6.98vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+7.38vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+3.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+4.16vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.70vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.50+3.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-0.79vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.04vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-0.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-0.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-0.01vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-3.02vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.72-0.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.25vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.73-6.83vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-4.65vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.64-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.33Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.04Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.52University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.28Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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12.42University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 21.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% |
| Edmund Cooper | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% |
| Brendan Feeney | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.