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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+6.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.96vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+5.03vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+4.21vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+4.23vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24+0.41vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.22vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73+0.03vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.50+0.34vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.09-3.29vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.21vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.72+0.11vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.53-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.64-1.38vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-3.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-5.07vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.03Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.21Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.23George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.41Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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6.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.03Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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12.11Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.62University of South Florida2.640.0%1st Place
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11.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Rhode Island3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Will La Dow | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Baird | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 20.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
| Brendan Feeney | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 24.6% |
| Edmund Cooper | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 12.3% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.