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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.93+5.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+8.04vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+4.63vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+6.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.95vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.64vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.91vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.56+0.18vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-1.50vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19+0.13vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.22-1.13vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.35vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.82-2.95vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-5.97vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.72-4.09vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.39-7.85vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.92-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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7.63College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.96Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.18Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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10.64University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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11.05Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.91George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.15Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.81University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Mack Fox | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Augie Dale | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% |
| Trevor Long | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Romain Screve | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 15.5% |
| William Logue | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.