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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+7.40vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+8.03vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.22+6.91vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.75+3.28vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+2.51vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+5.79vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.84vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.76vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.39-0.81vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.28vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.89vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-2.11vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.82-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-4.84vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-6.01vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-7.87vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.92-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.51Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.79George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.57Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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9.19Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.99Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.73University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Augie Dale | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.7% |
| William Logue | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Mack Fox | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Trevor Long | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.