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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+6.88vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+7.25vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+6.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+5.45vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+6.52vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.56+2.18vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.72+4.83vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-0.52vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.75-1.69vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.92+1.25vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.39-1.92vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-0.26vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.42vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.93-7.56vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.89-3.96vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-6.03vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-6.66vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.19-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.0%1st Place
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9.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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8.18Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.83George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.31College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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11.25University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.74Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.97Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.57Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Trevor Long | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% |
| Romain Screve | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Augie Dale | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% |
| William Logue | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 14.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.