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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+6.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+7.72vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+4.64vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+2.39vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.89+4.93vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+4.19vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.72+3.52vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-2.62vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.56-1.73vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.15-1.09vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.19-1.96vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.75-5.93vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-5.58vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-4.32vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.40-3.98vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.93-7.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.19Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.52George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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6.38Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.27Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.91Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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10.04Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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7.07College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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13.02University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Trevor Long | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| William Logue | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Romain Screve | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% |
| Augie Dale | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.3% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 22.5% |
| Luke Ingalls | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.