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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+8.19vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+5.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+7.59vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+3.91vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.56+2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.09+3.20vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20+1.67vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.72+2.85vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-2.11vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.98vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-0.26vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.19-3.37vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.92-3.37vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.22-5.46vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-4.84vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.93-10.13vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.75-10.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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8.91Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston College3.200.0%1st Place
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11.85George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.74Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.63University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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11.16Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.87Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.11College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Mack Fox | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% |
| William Logue | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Romain Screve | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Augie Dale | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.