← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+6.86vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.19+8.12vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.26vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.39+4.76vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.52vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.89vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University3.56+1.12vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.09+2.13vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.92+1.99vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.93-3.13vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.75-3.48vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.89-0.53vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.44vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-2.59vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University2.72-3.22vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College2.82-4.55vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University3.71-9.25vs Predicted
-
18Boston College3.20-8.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.12Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
-
9.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.76Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.52U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
-
8.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.12Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.13University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
10.99University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
6.87Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
7.52College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
11.47Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
-
11.78George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.45Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.75Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.53Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Trevor Long | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| William Logue | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% |
| Romain Screve | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Augie Dale | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 12.9% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 12.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.