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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+6.87vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+7.22vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+4.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+6.13vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+3.89vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.92+4.98vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.81vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.22+1.54vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-1.52vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.01vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-1.03vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.72+0.17vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-3.38vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.56-6.09vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.89-3.92vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.93-9.29vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.82-5.47vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.0%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.89Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.97Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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12.17George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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9.62Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.91Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.08Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.53Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.55University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Long | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Augie Dale | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
| William Logue | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 17.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Romain Screve | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.