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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+6.65vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.86vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+7.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.96vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+3.88vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.92+5.06vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+4.06vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.72+3.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-1.51vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.56-1.55vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.23vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-2.51vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-1.72vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.19-4.46vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-6.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.22-6.26vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.05vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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6.86Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.88Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.06University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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11.06Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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11.76George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.49Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.28Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.54Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
| William Logue | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 11.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 14.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Romain Screve | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Mack Fox | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.