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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+9.41vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+6.35vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+5.85vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.72+4.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89+3.03vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19+0.86vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.84vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.75-3.45vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.56-3.36vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-5.53vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.39-5.35vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.92-4.04vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.93-9.27vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.82-5.47vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.22-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.41University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.35Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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11.85George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.86Dartmouth College3.190.0%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.96University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.53Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Long | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Mack Fox | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 14.7% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| Augie Dale | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Romain Screve | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| William Logue | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.