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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-1.20+2.55vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University-0.53+0.76vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.01+0.39vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.95-2.56vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-1.52-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Ohio State University-1.206.5%1st Place
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2.76Ohio State University-0.5314.0%1st Place
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3.39Miami University-1.017.4%1st Place
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1.44Miami University0.9566.9%1st Place
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3.85Hillsdale College-1.525.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Leidheiser | 6.5% | 15.5% | 23.0% | 26.7% | 28.3% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.0% | 32.4% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 9.3% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 7.4% | 16.2% | 27.7% | 27.6% | 21.2% |
| Reed Porter | 66.9% | 23.8% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Finn Rowan | 5.2% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 26.2% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.