← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.56+7.49vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.82vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+6.17vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.75+3.36vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.71+2.53vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.97vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+4.79vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.93-1.43vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.78vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.82+1.70vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.72+0.98vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University3.39-2.67vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.09-2.92vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.19-4.48vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.22-5.34vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.35-6.82vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida2.92-5.87vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University2.89-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.49Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
7.36College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
7.53Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
-
6.57Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
-
11.7Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.98George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.33Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
10.08University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.52Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.66U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
-
9.18Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
11.13University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
10.94Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Augie Dale | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Trevor Long | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 16.0% |
| William Logue | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.