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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+8.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+4.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.88vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+4.07vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+1.77vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89+2.82vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.56-1.01vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.72+1.90vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.71-3.38vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.40+1.19vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.75-5.82vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-6.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-3.43vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-4.64vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.96-6.26vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.35-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.75Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Naval Academy3.220.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.77Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.82Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.9George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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7.62Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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13.19University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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11.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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11.36Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.74Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Peter Hogan | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| William Logue | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% |
| Romain Screve | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 24.3% |
| Augie Dale | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.