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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+7.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.75+5.41vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+6.07vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+5.00vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.72vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+3.93vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-0.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.56vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-0.77vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82+0.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-0.03vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-5.58vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.96-3.71vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.22-5.53vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.93-9.37vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.72-5.23vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.40-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.41College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.07Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.93Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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9.23Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.39Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.97University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.29Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.77George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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12.72University of South Florida2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Augie Dale | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| William Logue | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Long | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Mack Fox | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 14.5% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% |
| Michael Sanandajian | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 18.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.