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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.71vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+0.90vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.26-0.35vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37-0.38vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.17-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Hampton University2.260.5%1st Place
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2.9Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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2.65Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
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3.62William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.13Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 54.5% | 27.2% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 14.5% | 24.2% | 27.6% | 24.4% | 9.3% |
| Paul Hart | 19.9% | 28.2% | 25.8% | 19.4% | 6.7% |
| Connor Chapin | 6.4% | 12.5% | 22.7% | 29.8% | 28.6% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 4.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 21.4% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.