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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.06+1.88vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26-0.31vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.17+1.15vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.26-1.33vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Webb Institute1.060.2%1st Place
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1.69Hampton University2.260.5%1st Place
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4.15Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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2.67Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
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3.61William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 16.3% | 22.5% | 29.0% | 21.3% | 10.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 53.3% | 29.3% | 13.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 4.1% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 54.3% |
| Paul Hart | 18.4% | 28.2% | 28.6% | 17.5% | 7.3% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.9% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 35.7% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.