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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.71vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+0.88vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.26-0.35vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.17+0.15vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Hampton University2.260.5%1st Place
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2.88Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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2.65Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
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4.15Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.6William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 54.7% | 26.3% | 13.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 14.2% | 24.5% | 28.4% | 24.5% | 8.4% |
| Paul Hart | 19.3% | 29.0% | 25.9% | 18.8% | 7.0% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 3.7% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 21.7% | 54.2% |
| Connor Chapin | 8.1% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 30.5% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.