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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.59vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.17+1.75vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.26-0.59vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.06-1.39vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.45-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Hampton University2.260.6%1st Place
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3.75Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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2.41Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
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2.61Webb Institute1.060.2%1st Place
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4.64William and Mary-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 56.8% | 29.9% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 4.5% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 52.6% | 19.2% |
| Paul Hart | 21.5% | 32.2% | 31.5% | 13.5% | 1.3% |
| Nick Chisari | 16.3% | 28.6% | 36.0% | 16.2% | 2.9% |
| Michael Giovanniello | 0.9% | 1.8% | 5.8% | 15.1% | 76.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.