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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.72vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.06+0.88vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute-0.17+1.15vs Predicted
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4Washington College1.26-1.32vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Hampton University2.260.5%1st Place
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2.88Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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4.15Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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2.68Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
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3.58William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 54.3% | 26.5% | 13.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 13.8% | 25.5% | 28.9% | 22.1% | 9.7% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 4.4% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 19.8% | 55.4% |
| Paul Hart | 18.5% | 28.1% | 27.5% | 18.8% | 7.1% |
| Connor Chapin | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 35.0% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.