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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.69vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute-0.17+2.18vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+0.59vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute1.06-1.14vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.26-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.69Hampton University2.260.5%1st Place
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4.18Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
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3.59William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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2.86Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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2.67Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 53.9% | 28.8% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 4.1% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 55.8% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.8% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 31.6% | 28.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 15.0% | 24.9% | 28.0% | 23.0% | 9.1% |
| Paul Hart | 19.2% | 27.2% | 27.1% | 20.6% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.