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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+0.70vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.26+0.66vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.06-0.12vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.37-0.39vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.17-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7Hampton University2.260.5%1st Place
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2.66Washington College1.260.2%1st Place
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2.88Webb Institute1.060.2%1st Place
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3.61William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.14Webb Institute-0.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 54.6% | 27.5% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Paul Hart | 17.8% | 29.1% | 28.2% | 18.7% | 6.2% |
| Nick Chisari | 16.6% | 22.1% | 27.4% | 24.5% | 9.4% |
| Connor Chapin | 6.4% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 29.7% | 28.9% |
| Benjamin Lilly | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 22.5% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.