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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University-1.01+2.34vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.95-0.55vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.53-0.19vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.20-0.47vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-1.52-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34Miami University-1.018.8%1st Place
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1.45Miami University0.9566.0%1st Place
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2.81Ohio State University-0.5314.1%1st Place
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3.53Ohio State University-1.206.6%1st Place
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3.87Hillsdale College-1.524.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annabelle MacCartee | 8.8% | 18.2% | 25.1% | 25.9% | 21.9% |
| Reed Porter | 66.0% | 24.8% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.1% | 29.2% | 27.5% | 19.9% | 9.3% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 6.6% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 28.0% | 26.9% |
| Finn Rowan | 4.5% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 24.5% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.