Race 11A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sydney Bolger 35.2% 25.9% 16.2% 12.3% 6.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 12.7% 15.0% 15.1% 15.5% 12.9% 11.1% 9.1% 6.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 12.6% 14.0% 16.8% 14.3% 13.9% 12.6% 8.1% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 6.3% 6.4% 7.1% 10.1% 11.6% 13.6% 15.6% 13.4% 12.3% 3.3% 0.3%
Lauren Turner 12.0% 13.5% 14.0% 11.7% 14.5% 12.0% 9.7% 7.9% 4.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 5.7% 8.7% 9.5% 11.0% 12.4% 13.7% 13.3% 12.6% 10.1% 2.6% 0.4%
Ryann Hall 4.2% 4.4% 5.3% 5.1% 8.2% 10.8% 11.5% 17.5% 25.3% 6.8% 0.9%
Killian Corbishley 6.4% 6.1% 9.7% 11.8% 11.0% 11.5% 13.6% 13.9% 13.1% 2.6% 0.3%
Jessie Shifalo 0.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 3.4% 29.3% 60.9%
Catherine Olsen 0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 1.1% 1.5% 1.8% 4.0% 6.0% 47.6% 36.3%
Meredith Carroll 4.1% 5.1% 5.3% 7.4% 7.8% 9.3% 15.2% 16.8% 21.7% 6.4% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.