← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.78vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.92+1.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Minnesota1.57+0.82vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan2.09-2.01vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University0.67-0.79vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin1.26-2.71vs Predicted
-
8University of Illinois-1.58+0.53vs Predicted
-
9Grand Valley State University-0.68-1.76vs Predicted
-
10Michigan Technological University-1.73-1.35vs Predicted
-
11Northern Michigan University-1.37-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.78University of Wisconsin2.240.3%1st Place
-
3.27University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
-
3.82University of Minnesota1.570.1%1st Place
-
2.99University of Michigan2.090.2%1st Place
-
5.21Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
-
4.29University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
-
8.53University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
-
7.24Grand Valley State University-0.680.0%1st Place
-
8.65Michigan Technological University-1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.21Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 27.1% | 24.3% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 17.9% | 20.0% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 13.9% | 12.3% | 17.4% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 22.0% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 25.7% | 17.6% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Erin Sullivan | 10.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 27.3% | 31.6% |
| Joseph Kurta | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 10.8% | 25.6% | 26.5% | 17.3% | 6.3% |
| Steven Golm | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 27.1% | 37.3% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 25.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.