← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Miami University0.95+0.48vs Predicted
-
2Hillsdale College-1.52+1.86vs Predicted
-
3Miami University-1.01+0.33vs Predicted
-
4Ohio State University-1.20-0.49vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-0.53-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.48Miami University0.9564.5%1st Place
-
3.86Hillsdale College-1.525.1%1st Place
-
3.33Miami University-1.018.8%1st Place
-
3.51Ohio State University-1.207.1%1st Place
-
2.81Ohio State University-0.5314.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 64.5% | 25.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Finn Rowan | 5.1% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 25.7% | 40.8% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 8.8% | 19.0% | 24.5% | 25.6% | 22.2% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 7.1% | 15.8% | 22.7% | 27.3% | 27.1% |
| Michael Mignogna | 14.5% | 28.7% | 27.5% | 19.6% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.