Race 1B

maisa-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emma Kofmehl 7.3% 10.5% 10.8% 11.2% 12.7% 13.9% 12.5% 11.0% 6.7% 3.0% 0.4%
Sarah Yuskaitis 18.0% 18.2% 16.4% 13.9% 10.8% 9.3% 7.4% 4.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Lauren Burke 14.1% 14.1% 14.2% 14.7% 12.5% 10.0% 10.3% 6.2% 3.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Sara Burke 13.2% 11.6% 14.0% 13.3% 13.5% 11.7% 9.8% 6.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Katie Cummings 22.8% 19.9% 16.7% 14.0% 9.2% 8.5% 5.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Kathleen Hilton 5.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 7.8% 9.9% 13.2% 14.7% 15.3% 10.6% 3.0%
Ainsley Thomson 7.5% 8.1% 7.6% 9.3% 13.2% 10.6% 12.0% 11.8% 13.1% 5.5% 1.3%
Amanda Tooker 4.0% 3.1% 3.7% 4.6% 6.9% 8.1% 9.8% 14.0% 19.2% 18.0% 8.6%
Alison Love 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 11.0% 11.8% 15.8% 14.6% 9.3% 2.6%
Briana Paxton 0.7% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 4.3% 7.1% 17.6% 61.3%
Maggy Ashton 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.7% 4.8% 5.3% 8.3% 14.7% 32.9% 22.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.