Race 1B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Connor Goulet 28.5% 23.9% 20.1% 14.8% 7.5% 4.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Janssen 33.2% 27.3% 18.6% 11.9% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 11.6% 14.7% 16.2% 19.2% 17.5% 13.2% 5.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Christian Green 4.2% 5.0% 6.1% 11.0% 15.3% 21.9% 20.8% 11.6% 4.1%
Caroline Skotarzak 7.7% 11.8% 15.8% 15.0% 17.2% 15.9% 10.5% 4.8% 1.3%
Michael Stone 10.3% 12.0% 16.2% 19.2% 19.2% 14.0% 7.1% 1.5% 0.5%
Nichole Kievit 1.7% 2.5% 3.0% 3.2% 7.5% 13.0% 24.1% 27.6% 17.4%
Theo Wachowski 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 6.2% 11.5% 22.5% 49.4%
Ethan Mendez 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 6.3% 9.4% 18.7% 29.8% 27.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.