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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Noah Janssen 36.6% 27.3% 17.3% 11.5% 5.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Stone 7.6% 10.6% 17.8% 18.6% 21.3% 14.0% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Connor Goulet 27.3% 25.8% 17.5% 15.7% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Skotarzak 8.4% 9.7% 13.2% 16.1% 22.2% 16.8% 8.2% 4.3% 1.1%
Solomon Dworsky 12.3% 18.2% 18.2% 16.6% 14.1% 12.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Christian Green 3.3% 4.1% 7.8% 11.0% 13.4% 22.5% 21.4% 12.8% 3.7%
Theo Wachowski 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.3% 5.1% 13.3% 21.2% 51.1%
Ethan Mendez 1.5% 1.7% 2.8% 3.5% 5.3% 9.6% 20.0% 29.0% 26.6%
Nichole Kievit 2.2% 1.8% 3.5% 4.5% 6.1% 14.1% 23.3% 28.1% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.