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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+1.28vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.34+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.28-0.32vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.05+0.45vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.49-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.64-0.34vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.17+0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.69-0.77vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.41-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Wisconsin1.580.4%1st Place
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4.21University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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4.45University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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3.75Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Notre Dame-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.88Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Illinois-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.85Grand Valley State University-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 36.6% | 27.3% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 7.6% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Goulet | 27.3% | 25.8% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 8.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 22.2% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 12.3% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christian Green | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 22.5% | 21.4% | 12.8% | 3.7% |
| Theo Wachowski | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 51.1% |
| Ethan Mendez | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 20.0% | 29.0% | 26.6% |
| Nichole Kievit | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 28.1% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.