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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.28+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.58+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+1.03vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.49-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.69+2.08vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.05-1.57vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.41-0.15vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.17-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.04-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Michigan1.280.3%1st Place
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2.36University of Wisconsin1.580.3%1st Place
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4.03University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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3.67Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Illinois-1.690.0%1st Place
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4.43University of Wisconsin0.050.1%1st Place
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6.85Grand Valley State University-1.410.0%1st Place
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7.76Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Goulet | 28.8% | 24.0% | 22.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Janssen | 33.1% | 28.6% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 12.5% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Mendez | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 27.3% | 24.5% |
| Caroline Skotarzak | 8.0% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 20.8% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nichole Kievit | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 22.2% | 28.0% | 16.8% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 48.0% |
| James Kennedy | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 19.7% | 24.3% | 17.9% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.